delong - Network

Looking Back at This Semester of American Economic History...Thirteen ways from cotton to code of looking at America’s economic story,...

Looking Back at This Semester of American Economic History...
Thirteen ways from cotton to code of looking at America’s economic story, & none a Grand Narrative: priming our historical past to serve as an analogy generating machine…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/looking-back-at-this-semester-of>
2025-05-01 Th

Standing Up a New Version of SubTuringBradBotAs of 2025-05-01 Th... Have at it, people… If, in playing with it, it says anything...

Standing Up a New Version of SubTuringBradBot
As of 2025-05-01 Th... Have at it, people… If, in playing with it, it says anything insightful or weird to you, please email me…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/standing-up-a-new-version-of-subturingbradbot>
2025-05-01 Th

8% of the Flow of US Real GDP Is Likely to Vanish in the Next Three Months: The Ports Will Be Empty, & then the Shelves (PAID)Launching...

8% of the Flow of US Real GDP Is Likely to Vanish in the Next Three Months: The Ports Will Be Empty, & then the Shelves (PAID)
Launching a strategy-less trade war has consequences: f*** around & find out what happens when you make trade policy as a side-ef…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/8-of-the-flow-of-us-real-gdp-is-likely>

8% of the Flow of US Real GDP Is Likely to Vanish in the Next Three Months: The Ports Will Be Empty, & then the Shelves (PAID)Launching...

8% of the Flow of US Real GDP Is Likely to Vanish in the Next Three Months: The Ports Will Be Empty, & then the Shelves (PAID)
Launching a strategy-less trade war has consequences: f*** around & find out what happens when you make trade policy as a side-effect of performance art: China loses $4 billion a week that it has to cushion and cover, and the US loses 10 times that. You cannot retail, ship, inspire, or get paid for designing goods that do not arrive—yet the Tr…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/8-of-the-flow-of-us-real-gdp-is-likely>

Kernel Smoothing, Cargo Cults, & ChatGPT: Cosma Shalizi Takes on a Near-Impossible Teaching TaskThis Seems to Me to Be Taking...

Kernel Smoothing, Cargo Cults, & ChatGPT: Cosma Shalizi Takes on a Near-Impossible Teaching Task
This Seems to Me to Be Taking "Volunteer to Teach What You Want to Learn" to an Extreme: MAMLM Edition. Behind the paywall because I do not know what I think, and at the end I think all this piece demonstrates is my own great confusion. I bounce back and forth between the false promises & the real achievements of GPT LLMs, an so I go from Predict-o-Matic to Pagliacci, and…
https://braddelong.substack.com/p/kernel-smoothing-cargo-cults-and

CGTN Panel: Trying to Assess the Impact of the Trump Tariff No-Method Policy DisasterIt is a lie to claim that the United States now has a...

CGTN Panel: Trying to Assess the Impact of the Trump Tariff No-Method Policy Disaster
It is a lie to claim that the United States now has a tariff or an industrial policy. It just has a chaos monkey making chaos, and a bunch of grifters trying to cover up and rationalize that reality. The effects will be bad. How bad? That is very hard to guesstimate…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/cgtn-panel-trying-to-assess-the-impact>
2025-04-26 Sa

A Musing on Trumpian Fantasies of What the Economy Is: Shovel-Ready Self-Delusions (PAID)Start from a deeply deluded place about what the...

A Musing on Trumpian Fantasies of What the Economy Is: Shovel-Ready Self-Delusions (PAID)
Start from a deeply deluded place about what the economy is & you are playing a stupid game. & so to the extent that Trump is not stopped and removed from all levers of power immediately, America is going to do nothing but win some very stupid prizes indeed…
< https://braddelong.substack.com/p/a-musing-on-trumpian-fantasies-of >
2025-04-26 Sa

I Have Reached My Limit. I Cannot Stand It. Too Much Sanewashing of the Trump Administration Has Broken My BrainA huge number of journalists...

I Have Reached My Limit. I Cannot Stand It. Too Much Sanewashing of the Trump Administration Has Broken My Brain
A huge number of journalists continue to talk about a “Trump administration” with things called “policies” that it “plans”. They know better. They should act better…
https://braddelong.substack.com/p/i-have-reached-my-limit-i-cannot

PODCAST: Hexapodia LXIII: Plato's WereWolf, & Other Trumpist TopicsBack after a year on hiatus! Noah Smith & Brad DeLong Record...

PODCAST: Hexapodia LXIII: Plato's WereWolf, & Other Trumpist Topics
Back after a year on hiatus! Noah Smith & Brad DeLong Record the Podcast They, at Least, Would Like to Listen to!; Aspirationally Bi-Weekly (Meaning Every Other Week); Aspirationally an hour...
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/podcast-hexapodia-lxiii-platos-werewolf>
2025-04-23 We

Trump vs. Powell vs. Trump vs. WarshOn the Edge Again: The Fed, Trump, and the Risk of a 1980s-Style Spiral: An ongoing cautionary tale of...

Trump vs. Powell vs. Trump vs. Warsh
On the Edge Again: The Fed, Trump, and the Risk of a 1980s-Style Spiral: An ongoing cautionary tale of monetary policy, inflationary pressures, and the destabilizing influence of political interference...
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/trump-vs-powell-vs-trump-vs-warsh>
2025-04-23 We

"Ser Nihilo" & Ser Niccolò in France: Machiavelli, Broke & Un-Listened to at the French Court of Louis XIIThe Renaissance...

"Ser Nihilo" & Ser Niccolò in France: Machiavelli, Broke & Un-Listened to at the French Court of Louis XII
The Renaissance city-state of Florence sends a junior diplomat to try to fix the diplomatic consequences of a military disaster. And doesn’t fund him. Nobody listens. Machiavelli in the diplomatic trenches, thirteen years before The Prince. Between unpaid mercenaries, snubbed at audiences, and court contempt, the youngish Niccolò Machiavelli learns the cost of we…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/ser-nihilo-and-ser-niccolo-in-france>

"Ser Nihilo" & Ser Niccolò in France: Machiavelli, Broke & Un-Listened to at the French Court of Louis XIIThe Renaissance...

"Ser Nihilo" & Ser Niccolò in France: Machiavelli, Broke & Un-Listened to at the French Court of Louis XII
The Renaissance city-state of Florence sends a junior diplomat to try to fix the diplomatic consequences of a military disaster. And doesn’t fund him. Nobody listens. Machiavelli in the diplomatic trenches, thirteen years before The Prince. Between unpaid mercenaries, snubbed at audiences, and court contempt, the youngish Niccolò Machiavelli learns the cost of we…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/ser-nihilo-and-ser-niccolo-in-france>

ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, & Co.: They Are Not Brains, They Are Kernel-Smoother FunctionsIf your large language model reminds you of a...

ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, & Co.: They Are Not Brains, They Are Kernel-Smoother Functions
If your large language model reminds you of a brain, it’s because you’re projecting—not because it’s thinking. It’s not reasoning, it’s interpolation And…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/chatgpt-claude-gemini-and-co-they>
2024-04-16 We

Yes, Virginia, Predestination Marx Is Not Fake (ANNOYANCES)Marx wrote unvermeidlich. That matters much more than Peter Gordon dares to...

Yes, Virginia, Predestination Marx Is Not Fake (ANNOYANCES)
Marx wrote unvermeidlich. That matters much more than Peter Gordon dares to admit. It means one has to read Capital as not just an analysis but as a work in the Judæo-Christian prophetic tradition…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/yes-virginia-predestination-marx>

READING: Things American Universities Do Right: Lisa Cook Believes She Is OneAfrican-American Lisa Cook, who was just finishing up as a...

READING: Things American Universities Do Right: Lisa Cook Believes She Is One
African-American Lisa Cook, who was just finishing up as a student at Berkeley when I arrived as a professor, and who survived an attack by the right-wing slime machine to get…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/reading-things-american-universities>

PROJECT SYNDICATE: Rudderless AmericaAnd we are live! Instincts, sycophancy, spectacle—but no film editor—and the illusion of governance...

PROJECT SYNDICATE: Rudderless America
And we are live! Instincts, sycophancy, spectacle—but no film editor—and the illusion of governance at the court of the chaos-monkey king…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/project-syndicate-rudderless-america>
2025-04-15 Tu

HOISTED From My Archives: "My Reading Difficult Books" LectureFrom the time I taught the "Smith, Marx, & Keynes"...

HOISTED From My Archives: "My Reading Difficult Books" Lecture
From the time I taught the "Smith, Marx, & Keynes" History of Economic Thought course designed by Ravi Bhandari...
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/hoisted-from-my-archives-my-reading>
2025-04-15 Tu

# New Podcast!: Inflection Point: The Berkeley Political Economy PodcastRelaunching! Relaunch starring John Ganz, author of the truly...

# New Podcast!: Inflection Point: The Berkeley Political Economy Podcast
Relaunching! Relaunch starring John Ganz, author of the truly excellent…
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/new-podcast-inflection-point-the>
<https://inflectionpointpodcast.substack.com/p/when-the-clock-broke-starring-john>

LECTURE NOTES: A Feminist Angle on American Economic HistoryIt is, of course, something substantially wrong with the way I am teaching this...

LECTURE NOTES: A Feminist Angle on American Economic History
It is, of course, something substantially wrong with the way I am teaching this that feminist concerns are only about a tenth—rather than at least a quarter—of this …
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/lecture-notes-a-feminist-angle-on>

<https://www.unpopularfront.news/cp/158854457> This from John Ganz gets what's going on: a demonstration that if you have anything...

<https://www.unpopularfront.news/cp/158854457> This from John Ganz gets what's going on: a demonstration that if you have anything you value that someone in the Trump administration could take away, you need to start keeping your head down now. No, this is not "ma...

The Abduction of Mahmoud Khalil