maxkennerly - Network

Atlas has 2.7/3 stars on FiveThirtyEight and is a "select pollster" on NYTimes.And they pretend Trump will win by claiming the...

Atlas has 2.7/3 stars on FiveThirtyEight and is a "select pollster" on NYTimes.

And they pretend Trump will win by claiming the Black vote in Pennsylvania will be 5.2% of the electorate, rather than the 11% it was in 2020 (per CNN exit polling).

I'm not an immigration law expert, but, in general, obtaining naturalization through fraud or misrepresentation can result in...

I'm not an immigration law expert, but, in general, obtaining naturalization through fraud or misrepresentation can result in deportation of naturalized citizens. It's hard to see how Musk became naturalized without lying about this somewhere in the process.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/10/26/elon-musk-immigration-status/

I still think Harris wins this but at some point we should discuss how two months of outreach to Republicans produced no benefit whatsoever....

I still think Harris wins this but at some point we should discuss how two months of outreach to Republicans produced no benefit whatsoever. All it did was stop her ascent and cap her support at 49%.

LMAO if Beaver County, PA, is a "bellwether" then Harris has already won Pennsylvania and the whole election by a landslide. Trump...

LMAO if Beaver County, PA, is a "bellwether" then Harris has already won Pennsylvania and the whole election by a landslide.

Trump won it +18 in 2020, 54,759 votes Trump, 38,122 Biden. Biden won PA with a margin of +80,555 votes.

A month ago, NYT/Siena had Trump +2 nationally. I complained sample sizes were too small for several groups, and that younger voters are...

A month ago, NYT/Siena had Trump +2 nationally. I complained sample sizes were too small for several groups, and that younger voters are more than 12% of electorate in Presidential elections.

Today their sample sizes are fine and they bumped young voters to 13%, so Harris is +3.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/08/us/elections/times-siena-poll-likely-electorate-crosstabs.html

nice to see NYTimes drop the sanewashing and instead compile examples of just how bizarre his speech is now, and how little he campaigns...

nice to see NYTimes drop the sanewashing and instead compile examples of just how bizarre his speech is now, and how little he campaigns (less than a quarter as many rallies as 2016)

gift link so you can send this to the fascist weirdos in your life
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/us/politics/trump-speeches-age-cognitive-decline.html?unlocked_article_code=1.QE4.JJYW.GTjJjaexBe2T&smid=url-share

Malcolm Gladwell thinks bank heists are contagious which would be funny but it seems uhhh he's also suggesting minorities shouldn't...

Malcolm Gladwell thinks bank heists are contagious which would be funny but it seems uhhh he's also suggesting minorities shouldn't exceed a third of the population

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/26/business/malcolm-gladwell-revenge-of-the-tipping-point.html

Among the many absurdities here is the question of why our legal system allows Walmart to sic the cops on her in the first place and does...

Among the many absurdities here is the question of why our legal system allows Walmart to sic the cops on her in the first place and does not punish Walmart for misuse of that process. It's an alleged underpayment of $67. Send a dunning letter and go to small claims court.
https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/walmart-checkout-asparagus-ham-olympian-meaggan-pettipiece-b2618487.html

It's not just that the now-President of the Heritage Foundation killed his neighbor's dog with a shovel—he also had to brag to his...

It's not just that the now-President of the Heritage Foundation killed his neighbor's dog with a shovel—he also had to brag to his liberal academic colleagues about it. The cruelty is necessary, but not sufficient, they need the lurid rush of showing it to others.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/24/project-2025-kevin-roberts-killed-dog

To take NYT/Siena at face value, you have to believe they had difficulty finding people over 65 willing to answer the phone and do a...

To take NYT/Siena at face value, you have to believe they had difficulty finding people over 65 willing to answer the phone and do a political poll, so had to skew those up 23% to 29%, yet found too many 18-29 people, so had to skew those down 16% to 12%.

Sorry, but no.

NYT/Siena is the GOAT of skewed polls. They undersample GOP demos to ensure their sample is extra pro-MAGA, then overweigh that...

NYT/Siena is the GOAT of skewed polls. They undersample GOP demos to ensure their sample is extra pro-MAGA, then overweigh that unrepresentative sample.

Here's their sample % versus likely voter % weighing:

Republican
29% 🔼 34%

Age 65+
23% 🔼 29%

Edu no college
16% 🔼 27%

White
62% 🔼 66%

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/08/us/politics/times-siena-poll-toplines.html

Hey! Remember when Trump and Republicans spent a week pretending to care about tipped workers?Big surprise, they don't really care, and...

Hey! Remember when Trump and Republicans spent a week pretending to care about tipped workers?

Big surprise, they don't really care, and here's a 5th Circuit case blowing up a Biden admin regulation that protected tipped workers.
https://www.notus.org/courts/biden-labor-legacy-jeopardy-supreme-court

It's their own fault. "We're a non-profit, and all the evidence shows we strengthen the market for creators" is a...

It's their own fault. "We're a non-profit, and all the evidence shows we strengthen the market for creators" is a loser's argument. They should go with, "we're part of a Wall Street & Silicon Valley AI scam that is obliterating creators." Then courts will call it "fair use." https://blog.archive.org/2024/09/04/internet-archive-responds-to-appellate-opinion/

The Mars family are all tax cheats who have lobbied hard to make America worse by ensuring the idle inherited rich like themselves never pay...

The Mars family are all tax cheats who have lobbied hard to make America worse by ensuring the idle inherited rich like themselves never pay taxes. Godspeed, Lina.

(gift link)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-29/mars-36-billion-deal-faces-tough-review-by-lina-khan-s-ftc?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTcyNDkzODYzNywiZXhwIjoxNzI1NTQzNDM3LCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJTSUw5S09UMEcxS1cwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiI4NzU5NDI1Q0VFODg0NjVCOUVDOUY4Nzg4MkRCMDlFNSJ9.CbZlFZuzJzdbYntkzyS_hi-2BxxH0UsxfPEA0zZLjr4

why would anyone do business with this nasty goofball?...

why would anyone do business with this nasty goofball? https://apnews.com/article/x-sues-advertisers-unilever-cvs-mars-orsted-673d1ae88e9fb0ca5b170d238739453e

"We're not weirdos," say the members of a fascist pedophilia cult led by Jeffrey Epstein's best friend of 15 years who is...

"We're not weirdos," say the members of a fascist pedophilia cult led by Jeffrey Epstein's best friend of 15 years who is running for President on a platform of having the government inspect teenage girls' genitals and monitor their periods.

If you're feeling doom and gloom about Biden withdrawing, go look at the feeds of your horrible MAGA family members. They are despondent...

If you're feeling doom and gloom about Biden withdrawing, go look at the feeds of your horrible MAGA family members. They are despondent and have no idea what to do. What, talk about cognitive decline? Abortion? Windmill cancer? Electric sharks?

Not sure I've seen a more damning quote about AI's prospects than this one.The "killer app" he's talking about is...

Not sure I've seen a more damning quote about AI's prospects than this one.

The "killer app" he's talking about is Tesla's robotaxi, which is little more than a continuation of nearly ten years of Musk claiming full self-driving is just around the corner.

It was buried by other news, but, as a reminder, at the debate Trump gave a complete bullshit answer about Ukraine, literally copying...

It was buried by other news, but, as a reminder, at the debate Trump gave a complete bullshit answer about Ukraine, literally copying Nixon's fake "secret plan" to end the Vietnam War. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-03/zelenskiy-challenges-trump-to-reveal-plans-for-quick-end-to-war?srnd=homepage-americas

Pretty cool how we have a robust right to jury trial if you're some lawbreaking hedge fund or corporation trying to delay agency action,...

Pretty cool how we have a robust right to jury trial if you're some lawbreaking hedge fund or corporation trying to delay agency action, but if you try to sue one of them, there's an endless gantlet of federal statutes and procedural rules designed to throw your case out before you get to a jury.
https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-regulatory-agencies-sec-36f16444b1d4fc52985fdb68896362bb