📢 Paper alert:
"Maximizing the forecasting skill of an ensemble model"
https://academic.oup.com/gji/article/234/1/73/6994524
#doi: 10.1093/gji/ggad020
An #ensemble model combines a set of (#probabilistic) #forecasts. To obtain model weights that maximize its skill, we use multivariate #LogisticRegression. This ensemble strategy is superior to weighting forecasts equally or according to their individual skill – as demonstrated for operational #earthquake #forecasting in Italy (15 years of data).
7.3.2023 15:44📢 Paper alert:"Maximizing the forecasting skill of an ensemble model"https://academic.oup.com/gji/article/234/1/73/6994524#doi:...To all Bachelor students in Geophysics/Geology/Geochemistry (and related fields) out there looking for a #Master course: The University of Naples 'Federico II' (Italy) and the INGV have launched one for #Volcanolgy 🌋🎓.
Read more about the why, what, and how:
https://www.nature.com/articles/d43978-023-00015-w
See also: 🐦🔗 https://twtter.com/WarnerMarzocchi/status/1617241354224164864
25.1.2023 16:49To all Bachelor students in Geophysics/Geology/Geochemistry (and related fields) out there looking for a #Master course: The University of...📢 Paper & Data alert:
"A comprehensive suite of #earthquake catalogues for the 2016–2017 Central #Italy seismic sequence"
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41597-022-01827-z
We provide and document a #dataset of six catalogs for this sequence, which were developed with a variety of methods ranging from real-time to advanced #MachineLearning procedures.
I'm proud to be co-author among so many #seismologist-s.
#ScientificData #SpringerNature
#Seismology #OpenAccess
#introduction
I'm a statistical seismologist in 🇪🇺 at #UniNa (#Naples, #Italy).
I analyze #earthquake #data with #statistics, #brain, and #colleagues in #international projects—to advance #earthquake #forecast-ing.
About me:
◦ PhD in #seismic #hazard/#risk & #induced #seismicity.
◦ Curious about all things related to #science/#research (from the human genome to climate change to distant neutron stars)
◦ Proponent of #OpenScience and #CitizenScience
◦ Contributing to various #BOINC projects
In statistical seismology, it is common to analyze the magnitude distribution (i.e., b-value) of an earthquake sequence (e.g., for studying the underlying physical processes and for forecasting purposes). In our paper, we introduce a new perspective for doing so: spatially isolating seismogenic zones to provide an appropriate scale to resolve the b-value.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32755-6
🐦🔗: https://nitter.eu/WarnerMarzocchi/status/1564623623981305857
#research #paper #seismology #earthquake #magnitude #statistics #data #GutenbergRichter
31.8.2022 10:33In statistical seismology, it is common to analyze the magnitude distribution (i.e., b-value) of an earthquake sequence (e.g., for studying...⬆️
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